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India's government, led by PM Modi, is conducting a high-stakes balancing act to secure its energy imports through the Strait of Hormuz, engaging directly with Iran and the US while its economy and security are directly impacted by regional conflict.
March 2026
Week of Mar 16, compared to 12-week average
favourable and authoritative
India's economy is under severe strain from Middle East conflict, causing market crashes and currency depreciation. The government is actively securing energy supplies through a US waiver for Russian oil, a Canadian uranium deal, and navigating LPG tankers through the disrupted Strait of Hormuz.
PM Modi's government is prioritizing diplomatic outreach to Iran to keep the Strait of Hormuz open, while coordinating with the US. Domestic politics feature criticism of the government's foreign policy silence and the release of a detained climate activist.
Security in the Indian Ocean is highly volatile, with direct attacks on shipping and a US-Iran naval clash. India has responded by deploying warships to escort fuel vessels and faces casualties from an Iranian drone attack.
A dominant tension centers on state authority versus civil liberties, exemplified by the government's move to curb LGBTQ rights, which has alarmed the trans community. Other societal signals include the commencement of a massive population count and ongoing legal battles over COVID-19 vaccine side-effects.