Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro tied in Brazil election runoff poll

In Brazil, a Quaest poll published around September 7, 2026, shows President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro, a son of former President Jair Bolsonaro, statistically tied in a hypothetical second-round runoff for the presidency. The poll comes as Flávio Bolsonaro has been campaigning heavily, evoking his father's legacy to rally the right wing against Lula and Supreme Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes, who has been central to legal disputes involving the Bolsonaro family.

Lula marked Brazil's Independence Day on September 7 by bringing campaign themes to the official events and strengthening ties with congressional leaders, including Senate President Davi Alcolumbre and Chamber President Hugo Motta. Meanwhile, Flávio Bolsonaro has planned rallies, and the poll results have been interpreted by analysts as a negative sign for Lula's re-election prospects. The political climate is further energized by an ongoing court crisis that has given the right an opening against the current government.