Flávio's plan diverges from Bolsonaro, aligns with Lula

On 14 August 2026, Brazil's presidential campaign centered on Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro. A Quaest poll gave Lula 38% against 31% for Flávio in the first round, and 43% against 40% in a second-round scenario. Bloomberg reported that Lula's lead over Bolsonaro had narrowed.

O Globo reported that Flávio's plan diverges from the government of Jair Bolsonaro on fiscal adjustment, parliamentary amendments and reform of the STF, and shares points with Lula's plan, from Bolsa Família to AI in health. Kassab said the chance of Flávio being elected is 'zero' and that the Centrão is with Lula; Flávio's campaign said the PSD is acting to elect Lula. Lula said he will only consent to a US ambassador after the election.