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Russia unveiled a new ballistic missile, the Oreshnik, which officials claim is designed to carry a nuclear payload and cannot be intercepted by existing Western defense systems. This announcement was made in a statement directed at Estonian leadership. Domestically, Moscow grappled with security incidents including drone attacks that disrupted airports, the arrest of an alleged Moldovan intelligence agent, and a mysterious explosion reportedly causing significant military casualties.
Russia conducted large-scale attacks on Ukrainian cities including Kyiv, Kharkiv, and Odesa, employing drones and a new hypersonic missile identified as the Oreshnik. These strikes caused civilian deaths, damaged critical infrastructure like power grids and a historic monastery, and triggered widespread heating failures during winter. Concurrently, Russian forces continued ground offensives in the Kharkiv region. In parallel, Arctic tensions escalated significantly. NATO members, including Germany and the UK, moved to bolster defenses and troop deployments in Greenland, citing the Russian threat. This prompted strong warnings from Russian officials and a major diplomatic dispute after statements about potential US sovereignty over Greenland sparked protests. Further afield, a US-UK operation seized a Russian-flagged oil tanker in the North Atlantic, leading to a Russian naval escort, and the French Navy detained a tanker suspected of evading sanctions.
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Trump threatened to impose tariffs on several NATO allies who opposed his plans for Greenland. He claimed Russia or China could seize the Arctic island if the United States did not act. In response, NATO allies like Denmark proposed a surveillance mission for Greenland. France called for a NATO military exercise there, and countries including Canada and Italy considered sending soldiers. The threats caused a reported rift among some Republican politicians. After discussions with NATO chief Mark Rutte, Trump said he had reached a framework for a future deal on Greenland and suspended the planned tariffs. NATO officials said talks would focus on keeping Russia and China out of the Arctic region.
Russian forces launched strikes on Kyiv, damaging the city's energy infrastructure. The attacks left nearly half of the city without power and heating during a period of extreme cold, with temperatures dropping to -30°C. Trump said he asked Putin to pause strikes on Kyiv for one week due to the harsh winter conditions. The Kremlin confirmed it agreed to a temporary pause on strikes against Kyiv until Sunday at Trump's request. Zelensky said Ukraine would attend the World Economic Forum in Davos if it receives the necessary weapons for defense. He also ordered the finalization of a document on U.S. security guarantees.
The U.S. military, with reported help from the United Kingdom, seized a Russian-flagged oil tanker in the North Atlantic. The vessel was linked to Venezuela, and the operation involved a pursuit. Russia responded by sending navy ships and, according to some reports, a submarine to escort the tanker. Moscow also demanded 'humane' treatment for the ship's crew.
The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) published daily assessments of Russian offensive campaign operations in Ukraine throughout January 2025. These reports document and analyze ongoing military actions on the front lines. The assessments provide a detailed, day-by-day account of battlefield developments, troop movements, and the strategic objectives of the Russian offensive.
Russian forces have launched a series of missile strikes on the Ukrainian city of Kharkiv, focusing on energy infrastructure and a major logistics hub. A strike destroyed a large energy facility, and another hit a terminal for Nova Poshta, a Ukrainian delivery company, killing four workers. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky warned that Russia appears to be shifting its strategy to target logistics and energy supplies. Meanwhile, Russia claims its ground forces have taken control of another settlement in the broader Kharkiv region.
Russia has used a new type of missile, called the Oreshnik, in strikes against targets in Ukraine. The missile is described as hypersonic, meaning it can travel at speeds many times faster than sound, and was reportedly used to hit an aircraft repair plant. Russian experts claim the weapon exposes weaknesses in Western air defense systems like the US Patriot.
The French Navy has boarded and detained an oil tanker in the Mediterranean Sea. French President Emmanuel Macron said the vessel was sailing from Russia and is suspected of being part of a 'shadow fleet' used to evade sanctions on Russian oil. A Russian senator said the detention increases tensions between France and Russia. The tanker was reportedly carrying sanctioned oil.
Moscow reported drone attacks, which led to the temporary closure of some airports. Separately, Russia's Federal Security Service announced it had arrested an agent from Moldova's intelligence service.
Russian President Vladimir Putin stated that Moscow is seeking a durable peace in Ukraine that would ensure security for all parties. He met with three U.S. envoys for late-night talks on the conflict. Separately, Russia's envoy to Estonia reminded Prime Minister Kaja Kallas that no defense system could stop its Oreshnik missiles. Russia claimed a second Oreshnik missile strike on Ukraine was retaliation for an attack on a Putin residence, and Putin sent a warning to Ukraine and the West by using a weapon not deployed since 2024.
South Africa is hosting a naval exercise in its waters with China, Russia, and Iran. The drills are being conducted under the banner of the BRICS group of nations, which South Africa is a member of. Some critics have described South Africa's decision to host the drills, which include Russia, as a political choice.
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